| Understanding
Opportunities and Risks in Futures Trading
This information is
provided by the National Futures Association.
Table of Contents
- Introduction
- Futures
Markets: What, Why & Who
- The
Market Participants
- What
is a Futures Contract?
- The
Process of Price Discovery
- After
the Closing Bell
- The
Arithmetic of Futures
- Trading
- Margins
- Basic
Trading Strategies
- Buying
(Going Long) to Profit from an Expected Price
Increase Selling
- (Going
Short) to Profit from an Expected Price Decrease
Spreads
- Participating
in Futures Trading
- Deciding
How to Participate
- Regulation
of Futures Trading
- Establishing
an Account
- What
to Look for in a Futures Contract
- The
Contract Unit
- How
Prices are Quoted
- Minimum
Price Changes
- Daily
Price Limits
- Position
Limits
- Understanding
(and Managing) the Risks of Futures Trading
- Choosing
a Futures Contract
- Liquidity
- Timing
- Stop
Orders
- Spreads
- Options
on Futures Contracts
- Buying
Call Options
- Buying
Put Options
- How
Option Premiums are Determined
- Selling
Options
- In
Closing
INTRODUCTION
Futures markets have
been described as continuous auction markets and as
clearing houses for the latest information about
supply and demand. They are the meeting places of
buyers and sellers of an ever-expanding list of
commodities that today includes agricultural products,
metals, petroleum, financial instruments, foreign
currencies and stock indexes. Trading has also been
initiated in options on futures contracts, enabling
option buyers to participate in futures markets with
known risks.
Notwithstanding the
rapid growth and diversification of futures markets,
their primary purpose remains the same as it has been
for nearly a century and a half, to provide an
efficient and effective mechanism for the management
of price risks. By buying or selling futures
contracts--contracts that establish a price level now
for items to be delivered later--individuals and
businesses seek to achieve what amounts to insurance
against adverse price changes. This is called hedging.
Volume has increased
from 14 million futures contracts traded in 1970 to
179 million futures and options on futures contracts
traded in 1985.
Other futures market
participants are speculative investors who accept the
risks that hedgers wish to avoid. Most speculators
have no intention of making or taking delivery of the
commodity but, rather, seek to profit from a change in
the price. That is, they buy when they anticipate
rising prices and sell when they anticipate declining
prices. The interaction of hedgers and speculators
helps to provide active, liquid and competitive
markets. Speculative participation in futures trading
has become increasingly attractive with the
availability of alternative methods of participation.
Whereas many futures traders continue to prefer to
make their own trading decisions--such as what to buy
and sell and when to buy and sell--others choose to
utilize the services of a professional trading
advisor, or to avoid day-to-day trading
responsibilities by establishing a fully managed
trading account or participating in a commodity pool
which is similar in concept to a mutual fund.
For those individuals
who fully understand and can afford the risks which
are involved, the allocation of some portion of their
capital to futures trading can provide a means of
achieving greater diversification and a potentially
higher overall rate of return on their investments.
There are also a number of ways in which futures can
be used in combination with stocks, bonds and other
investments.
Speculation in futures
contracts, however, is clearly not appropriate for
everyone. Just as it is possible to realize
substantial profits in a short period of time, it is
also possible to incur substantial losses in a short
period of time. The possibility of large profits or
losses in relation to the initial commitment of
capital stems principally from the fact that futures
trading is a highly leveraged form of speculation.
Only a relatively small amount of money is required to
control assets having a much greater value. As we will
discuss and illustrate, the leverage of futures
trading can work for you when prices move in the
direction you anticipate or against you when prices
move in the opposite direction.
It is not the purpose
of this brochure to suggest that you should--or should
not--participate in futures trading. That is a
decision you should make only after consultation with
your broker or financial advisor and in light of your
own financial situation and objectives.
Intended to help
provide you with the kinds of information you should
first obtain--and the questions you should seek
answers to--in regard to any investment you are
considering:
* Information about the
investment itself and the risks involved
* How readily your
investment or position can be liquidated when such
action is necessary or desired
* Who the other market
participants are
* Alternate methods of
participation
* How prices are
arrived at
* The costs of trading
* How gains and losses
are realized
* What forms of
regulation and protection exist
* The experience,
integrity and track record of your broker or advisor
* The financial
stability of the firm with which you are dealing
In sum, the information
you need to be an informed investor.
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FUTURES
MARKET
The frantic shouting
and signaling of bids and offers on the trading floor
of a futures exchange undeniably convey an impression
of chaos. The reality however, is that chaos is what
futures markets replaced. Prior to the establishment
of central grain markets in the mid-nineteenth
century, the nation farmers carted their newly
harvested crops over plank roads to major population
and transportation centers each fall in search of
buyers. The seasonal glut drove prices to giveaway
levels and, indeed, to throwaway levels as grain often
rotted in the streets or was dumped in rivers and
lakes for lack of storage. Come spring, shortages
frequently developed and foods made from corn and
wheat became barely affordable luxuries. Throughout
the year, it was each buyer and seller for himself
with neither a place nor a mechanism for organized,
competitive bidding. The first central markets were
formed to meet that need. Eventually, contracts were
entered into for forward as well as for spot
(immediate) delivery. So-called forwards were the
forerunners of present day futures contracts.
Spurred by the need to
manage price and interest rate risks that exist in
virtually every type of modern business, today's
futures markets have also become major financial
markets. Participants include mortgage bankers as well
as farmers, bond dealers as well as grain merchants,
and multinational corporations as well as food
processors, savings and loan associations, and
individual speculators.
Futures prices arrived
at through competitive bidding are immediately and
continuously relayed around the world by wire and
satellite. A farmer in Nebraska, a merchant in
Amsterdam, an importer in Tokyo and a speculator in
Ohio thereby have simultaneous access to the latest
market-derived price quotations. And, should they
choose, they can establish a price level for future
delivery--or for speculative purposes--simply by
having their broker buy or sell the appropriate
contracts. Images created by the fast-paced activity
of the trading floor notwithstanding, regulated
futures markets are a keystone of one of the world's
most orderly envied and intensely competitive
marketing systems. Should you at some time decide to
trade in futures contracts, either for speculation or
in connection with a risk management strategy, your
orders to buy or sell would be communicated by phone
from the brokerage office you use and then to the
trading pit or ring for execution by a floor broker.
If you are a buyer, the broker will seek a seller at
the lowest available price. If you are a seller, the
broker will seek a buyer at the highest available
price. That's what the shouting and signaling is
about.
In either case, the
person who takes the opposite side of your trade may
be or may represent someone who is a commercial hedger
or perhaps someone who is a public speculator. Or,
quite possibly, the other party may be an independent
floor trader. In becoming acquainted with futures
markets, it is useful to have at least a general
understanding of who these various market participants
are, what they are doing and why.
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Hedgers
The details of hedging
can be somewhat complex but the principle is simple.
Hedgers are individuals and firms that make purchases
and sales in the futures market solely for the purpose
of establishing a known price level--weeks or months
in advance--for something they later intend to buy or
sell in the cash market (such as at a grain elevator
or in the bond market). In this way they attempt to
protect themselves against the risk of an unfavorable
price change in the interim. Or hedgers may use
futures to lock in an acceptable margin between their
purchase cost and their selling price. Consider this
example:
A jewelry manufacturer
will need to buy additional gold from his supplier in
six months. Between now and then, however, he fears
the price of gold may increase. That could be a
problem because he has already published his catalog
for a year ahead.
To lock in the price
level at which gold is presently being quoted for
delivery in six months, he buys a futures contract at
a price of, say, $350 an ounce.
If, six months later,
the cash market price of gold has risen to $370, he
will have to pay his supplier that amount to acquire
gold. However, the extra $20 an ounce cost will be
offset by a $20 an ounce profit when the futures
contract bought at $350 is sold for $370. In effect,
the hedge provided insurance against an increase in
the price of gold. It locked in a net cost of $350,
regardless of what happened to the cash market price
of gold. Had the price of gold declined instead of
risen, he would have incurred a loss on his futures
position but this would have been offset by the lower
cost of acquiring gold in the cash market.
The number and variety
of hedging possibilities is practically limitless. A
cattle feeder can hedge against a decline in livestock
prices and a meat packer or supermarket chain can
hedge against an increase in livestock prices.
Borrowers can hedge against higher interest rates, and
lenders against lower interest rates. Investors can
hedge against an overall decline in stock prices, and
those who anticipate having money to invest can hedge
against an increase in the over-all level of stock
prices. And the list goes on.
Whatever the hedging
strategy, the common denominator is that hedgers
willingly give up the opportunity to benefit from
favorable price changes in order to achieve protection
against unfavorable price changes.
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Speculators
Were you to speculate
in futures contracts, the person taking the opposite
side of your trade on any given occasion could be a
hedger or it might well be another speculator--someone
whose opinion about the probable direction of prices
differs from your own.
The arithmetic of
speculation in futures contracts--including the
opportunities it offers and the risks it
involves--will be discussed in detail later on. For
now, suffice it to say that speculators are
individuals and firms who seek to profit from
anticipated increases or decreases in futures prices.
In so doing, they help provide the risk capital needed
to facilitate hedging.
Someone who expects a
futures price to increase would purchase futures
contracts in the hope of later being able to sell them
at a higher price. This is known as "going
long." Conversely, someone who expects a futures
price to decline would sell futures contracts in the
hope of later being able to buy back identical and
offsetting contracts at a lower price. The practice of
selling futures contracts in anticipation of lower
prices is known as "going short." One of the
attractive features of futures trading is that it is
equally easy to profit from declining prices (by
selling) as it is to profit from rising prices (by
buying).
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Floor
Traders
Persons known as floor
traders or locals, who buy and sell for their own
accounts on the trading floors of the exchanges, are
the least known and understood of all futures market
participants. Yet their role is an important one. Like
specialists and market makers at securities exchanges,
they help to provide market liquidity. If there isn't
a hedger or another speculator who is immediately
willing to take the other side of your order at or
near the going price, the chances are there will be an
independent floor trader who will do so, in the hope
of minutes or even seconds later being able to make an
offsetting trade at a small profit. In the grain
markets, for example, there is frequently only
one-fourth of a cent a bushel difference between the
prices at which a floor trader buys and sells.
Floor traders, of
course, have no guarantee they will realize a profit.
They may end up losing money on any given trade. Their
presence, however, makes for more liquid and
competitive markets. It should be pointed out,
however, that unlike market makers or specialists,
floor traders are not obligated to maintain a liquid
market or to take the opposite side of customer
orders.
| |
Reasons for
Buying futures contracts |
Reasons for
Selling futures contracts |
| Hedgers |
To lock in a
price and thereby obtain protection against
rising prices |
To lock in a
price and thereby obtain protection against
declining prices |
| Speculators
and floor Traders |
To profit from
rising prices |
To profit from
declining prices |
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What
is a Futures Contract?
There are two types of
futures contracts, those that provide for physical
delivery of a particular commodity or item and those
which call for a cash settlement. The month during
which delivery or settlement is to occur is specified.
Thus, a July futures contract is one providing for
delivery or settlement in July.
It should be noted that
even in the case of delivery-type futures contracts, very
few actually result in delivery.* Not
many speculators have the desire to take or make
delivery of, say, 5,000 bushels of wheat, or 112,000
pounds of sugar, or a million dollars worth of U.S.
Treasury bills for that matter. Rather, the vast
majority of speculators in futures markets choose to
realize their gains or losses by buying or selling
offsetting futures contracts prior to the delivery
date. Selling a contract that was previously purchased
liquidates a futures position in exactly the same way,
for example, that selling 100 shares of IBM stock
liquidates an earlier purchase of 100 shares of IBM
stock. Similarly, a futures contract that was
initially sold can be liquidated by an offsetting
purchase. In either case, gain or loss is the
difference between the buying price and the selling
price.
Even hedgers generally
don't make or take delivery. Most, like the jewelry
manufacturer illustrated earlier, find it more
convenient to liquidate their futures positions and
(if they realize a gain) use the money to offset
whatever adverse price change has occurred in the cash
market.
* When delivery does
occur it is in the form of a negotiable instrument
(such as a warehouse receipt) that evidences the
holder's ownership of the commodity, at some
designated location.
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Since delivery on
futures contracts is the exception rather than the
rule, why do most contracts even have a delivery
provision? There are two reasons. One is that it
offers buyers and sellers the opportunity to take or
make delivery of the physical commodity if they so
choose. More importantly, however, the fact that
buyers and sellers can take or make delivery helps to
assure that futures prices will accurately reflect the
cash market value of the commodity at the time the
contract expires--i.e., that futures and cash prices
will eventually converge. It is convergence that makes
hedging an effective way to obtain protection against
an adverse change in the cash market price.*
* Convergence occurs at
the expiration of the futures contract because any
difference between the cash and futures prices would
quickly be negated by profit-minded investors who
would buy the commodity in the lowest-price market and
sell it in the highest-price market until the price
difference disappeared. This is known as arbitrage and
is a form of trading generally best left to
professionals in the cash and futures markets.
Cash settlement futures
contracts are precisely that, contracts which are
settled in cash rather than by delivery at the time
the contract expires. Stock index futures contracts,
for example, are settled in cash on the basis of the
index number at the close of the final day of trading.
There is no provision for delivery of the shares of
stock that make up the various indexes. That would be
impractical. With a cash settlement contract,
convergence is automatic.
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The
Process of Price Discovery
Futures prices increase
and decrease largely because of the myriad factors
that influence buyers' and sellers' judgments about
what a particular commodity will be worth at a given
time in the future (anywhere from less than a month to
more than two years).
As new supply and
demand developments occur and as new and more current
information becomes available, these judgments are
reassessed and the price of a particular futures
contract may be bid upward or downward. The process of
reassessment--of price discovery--is continuous.
Thus, in January, the
price of a July futures contract would reflect the
consensus of buyers' and sellers' opinions at that
time as to what the value of a commodity or item will
be when the contract expires in July. On any given
day, with the arrival of new or more accurate
information, the price of the July futures contract
might increase or decrease in response to changing
expectations.
Competitive price
discovery is a major economic function--and, indeed, a
major economic benefit--of futures trading. The
trading floor of a futures exchange is where available
information about the future value of a commodity or
item is translated into the language of price. In
summary, futures prices are an ever changing barometer
of supply and demand and, in a dynamic market, the
only certainty is that prices will change.
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After
the Closing Bell
Once a closing bell
signals the end of a day's trading, the exchange's
clearing organization matches each purchase made that
day with its corresponding sale and tallies each
member firm's gains or losses based on that day's
price changes--a massive undertaking considering that
nearly two-thirds of a million futures contracts are
bought and sold on an average day. Each firm, in turn,
calculates the gains and losses for each of its
customers having futures contracts.
Gains and losses on
futures contracts are not only calculated on a daily
basis, they are credited and deducted on a daily
basis. Thus, if a speculator were to have, say, a $300
profit as a result of the day's price changes, that
amount would be immediately credited to his brokerage
account and, unless required for other purposes, could
be withdrawn. On the other hand, if the day's price
changes had resulted in a $300 loss, his account would
be immediately debited for that amount.
The process just
described is known as a daily cash settlement and is
an important feature of futures trading. As will be
seen when we discuss margin requirements, it is also
the reason a customer who incurs a loss on a futures
position may be called on to deposit additional funds
to his account.
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The
Arithmetic of Futures Trading
To say that gains and
losses in futures trading are the result of price
changes is an accurate explanation but by no means a
complete explanation. Perhaps more so than in any
other form of speculation or investment, gains and
losses in futures trading are highly leveraged. An
understanding of leverage--and of how it can work to
your advantage or disadvantage--is crucial to an
understanding of futures trading.
As mentioned in the
introduction, the leverage of futures trading stems
from the fact that only a relatively small amount of
money (known as initial margin) is required to buy or
sell a futures contract. On a particular day, a margin
deposit of only $1,000 might enable you to buy or sell
a futures contract covering $25,000 worth of soybeans.
Or for $10,000, you might be able to purchase a
futures contract covering common stocks worth
$260,000. The smaller the margin in relation to the
value of the futures contract, the greater the
leverage.
If you speculate in
futures contracts and the price moves in the direction
you anticipated, high leverage can produce large
profits in relation to your initial margin.
Conversely, if prices move in the opposite direction,
high leverage can produce large losses in relation to
your initial margin. Leverage is a two-edged sword.
For example, assume
that in anticipation of rising stock prices you buy
one June S&P 500 stock index futures contract at a
time when the June index is trading at 1000. And
assume your initial margin requirement is $10,000.
Since the value of the futures contract is $250 times
the index, each 1 point change in the index represents
a $250 gain or loss.
Thus, an increase in
the index from 1000 to 1040 would double your $10,000
margin deposit and a decrease from 1000 to 960 would
wipe it out. That's a 100% gain or loss as the result
of only a 4% change in the stock index!
Said another way, while
buying (or selling) a futures contract provides
exactly the same dollars and cents profit potential as
owning (or selling short) the actual commodities or
items covered by the contract, low margin requirements
sharply increase the percentage profit or loss
potential. For example, it can be one thing to have
the value of your portfolio of common stocks decline
from $100,000 to $96,000 (a 4% loss) but quite another
(at least emotionally) to deposit $10,000 as margin
for a futures contract and end up losing that much or
more as the result of only a 4% price decline. Futures
trading thus requires not only the necessary financial
resources but also the necessary financial and
emotional temperament.
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Trading
An absolute requisite
for anyone considering trading in futures
contracts--whether it's sugar or stock indexes, pork
bellies or petroleum--is to clearly understand the
concept of leverage as well as the amount of gain or
loss that will result from any given change in the
futures price of the particular futures contract you
would be trading. If you cannot afford the risk, or
even if you are uncomfortable with the risk, the only
sound advice is don't trade. Futures trading is not
for everyone.
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Margins
As is apparent from the
preceding discussion, the arithmetic of leverage is
the arithmetic of margins. An understanding of
margins--and of the several different kinds of
margin--is essential to an understanding of futures
trading.
If your previous
investment experience has mainly involved common
stocks, you know that the term margin--as used in
connection with securities--has to do with the cash
down payment and money borrowed from a broker to
purchase stocks. But used in connection with futures
trading, margin has an altogether different meaning
and serves an altogether different purpose.
Rather than providing a
down payment, the margin required to buy or sell a
futures contract is solely a deposit of good faith
money that can be drawn on by your brokerage firm to
cover losses that you may incur in the course of
futures trading. It is much like money held in an
escrow account. Minimum margin requirements for a
particular futures contract at a particular time are
set by the exchange on which the contract is traded.
They are typically about five percent of the current
value of the futures contract. Exchanges continuously
monitor market conditions and risks and, as necessary,
raise or reduce their margin requirements. Individual
brokerage firms may require higher margin amounts from
their customers than the exchange-set minimums.
There are two
margin-related terms you should know: Initial margin
and maintenance margin.
Initial margin (sometimes
called original margin) is the sum of money that the
customer must deposit with the brokerage firm for each
futures contract to be bought or sold. On any day that
profits accrue on your open positions, the profits
will be added to the balance in your margin account.
On any day losses accrue, the losses will be deducted
from the balance in your margin account.
If and when the funds
remaining available in your margin account are reduced
by losses to below a certain level--known as the maintenance
margin requirement--your broker will require that
you deposit additional funds to bring the account back
to the level of the initial margin. Or, you may also
be asked for additional margin if the exchange or your
brokerage firm raises its margin requirements.
Requests for additional margin are known as margin
calls.
Assume, for example,
that the initial margin needed to buy or sell a
particular futures contract is $2,000 and that the
maintenance margin requirement is $1,500. Should
losses on open positions reduce the funds remaining in
your trading account to, say, $1,400 (an amount less
than the maintenance requirement), you will receive a
margin call for the $600 needed to restore your
account to $2,000.
Before trading in
futures contracts, be sure you understand the
brokerage firm's Margin Agreement and know how and
when the firm expects margin calls to be met. Some
firms may require only that you mail a personal check.
Others may insist you wire transfer funds from your
bank or provide same-day or next-day delivery of a
certified or cashier's check. If margin calls are not
met in the prescribed time and form, the firm can
protect itself by liquidating your open positions at
the available market price (possibly resulting in an
unsecured loss for which you would be liable).
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Basic
Trading Strategies
Even if you should
decide to participate in futures trading in a way that
doesn't involve having to make day-to-day trading
decisions (such as a managed account or commodity
pool), it is nonetheless useful to understand the
dollars and cents of how futures trading gains and
losses are realized. And, of course, if you intend to
trade your own account, such an understanding is
essential.
Dozens of different
strategies and variations of strategies are employed
by futures traders in pursuit of speculative profits.
Here is a brief description and illustration of
several basic strategies.
- Buying (Going Long)
to Profit from an Expected Price Increase
Someone expecting the
price of a particular commodity or item to increase
over from a given period of time can seek to profit by
buying futures contracts. If correct in forecasting
the direction and timing of the price change, the
futures contract can later be sold for the higher
price, thereby yielding a profit.* If the price
declines rather than increases, the trade will result
in a loss. Because of leverage, the gain or loss may
be greater than the initial margin deposit.
For example, assume
it's now January, the July soybean futures contract is
presently quoted at $6.00, and over the coming months
you expect the price to increase. You decide to
deposit the required initial margin of, say, $1,500
and buy one July soybean futures contract. Further
assume that by April the July soybean futures price
has risen to $6.40 and you decide to take your profit
by selling. Since each contract is for 5,000 bushels,
your 40-cent a bushel profit would be 5,000 bushels x
40 cents or $2,000 less transaction costs.
* For simplicity examples do not take into
account commissions and other transaction costs. These
costs are important, however, and you should be sure
you fully understand them. Suppose, however, that
rather than rising to $6.40, the July soybean futures
price had declined to $5.60 and that, in order to
avoid the possibility of further loss, you elect to
sell the contract at that price. On 5,000 bushels your
40-cent a bushel loss would thus come to $2,000 plus
transaction costs.
Note that the loss in this example exceeded your
$1,500 initial margin. Your broker would then call
upon you, as needed, for additional margin funds to
cover the loss. (Going short) to profit from an
expected price decrease The only way going short to
profit from an expected price decrease differs from
going long to profit from an expected price increase
is the sequence of the trades. Instead of first buying
a futures contract, you first sell a futures contract.
If, as expected, the price declines, a profit can be
realized by later purchasing an offsetting futures
contract at the lower price. The gain per unit will be
the amount by which the purchase price is below the
earlier selling price. For example, assume that in
January your research or other available information
indicates a probable decrease in cattle prices over
the next several months. In the hope of profiting, you
deposit an initial margin of $2,000 and sell one April
live cattle futures contract at a price of, say, 65
cents a pound. Each contract is for 40,000 pounds,
meaning each 1 cent a pound change in price will
increase or decrease the value of the futures contract
by $400. If, by March, the price has declined to 60
cents a pound, an offsetting futures contract can be
purchased at 5 cents a pound below the original
selling price. On the 40,000 pound contract, that's a
gain of 5 cents x 40,000 lbs. or $2,000 less
transaction costs.
Assume you were wrong. Instead of decreasing,
the April live cattle futures price increases--to,
say, 70 cents a pound by the time in March when you
eventually liquidate your short futures position
through an offsetting purchase. The outcome would be
as follows:
In
this example, the loss of 5 cents a pound on the
futures transaction resulted in a total loss of the
$2,000 you deposited as initial margin plus
transaction costs.
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Spreads
While most speculative
futures transactions involve a simple purchase of
futures contracts to profit from an expected price
increase--or an equally simple sale to profit from an
expected price decrease--numerous other possible
strategies exist. Spreads are one example. A spread,
at least in its simplest form, involves buying one
futures contract and selling another futures contract.
The purpose is to profit from an expected change in
the relationship between the purchase price of one and
the selling price of the other. As an illustration,
assume it's now November, that the March wheat futures
price is presently $3.10 a bushel and the May wheat
futures price is presently $3.15 a bushel, a
difference of 5 cents. Your analysis of market
conditions indicates that, over the next few months,
the price difference between the two contracts will
widen to become greater than 5 cents. To profit if you
are right, you could sell the March futures contract
(the lower priced contract) and buy the May futures
contract (the higher priced contract). Assume time and
events prove you right and that, by February, the
March futures price has risen to $3.20 and May futures
price is $3.35, a difference of 15 cents. By
liquidating both contracts at this time, you can
realize a net gain of 10 cents a bushel. Since each
contract is 5,000 bushels, the total gain is $500.
| November |
Sell March
wheat |
Buy May wheat |
Spread |
| |
$3.10 Bu. |
$3.15 Bu. |
5 cents |
| February |
Buy March
wheat |
Sell May wheat |
|
| |
$3.20 |
$3.35 |
15 cents |
| |
$ .10 loss |
$ .20 gain |
|
Had the spread (i.e.
the price difference) narrowed by 10 cents a bushel
rather than widened by 10 cents a bushel the
transactions just illustrated would have resulted in a
loss of $500. Virtually unlimited numbers and types of
spread possibilities exist, as do many other, even
more complex futures trading strategies. These,
however, are beyond the scope of an introductory
booklet and should be considered only by someone who
well understands the risk/reward arithmetic involved. Back
to TOP
Participating
in Futures Trading
Now that you have an
overview of what futures markets are, why they exist
and how they work, the next step is to consider
various ways in which you may be able to participate
in futures trading. There are a number of alternatives
and the only best alternative--if you decide to
participate at all--is whichever one is best for you.
Also discussed is the opening of a futures trading
account, the regulatory safeguards provided
participants in futures markets, and methods for
resolving disputes, should they arise. Back
to TOP
Deciding
How to Participate
At the risk of
oversimplification, choosing a method of participation
is largely a matter of deciding how directly and
extensively you, personally, want to be involved in
making trading decisions and managing your account.
Many futures traders prefer to do their own research
and analysis and make their own decisions about what
and when to buy and sell. That is, they manage their
own futures trades in much the same way they would
manage their own stock portfolios. Others choose to
rely on or at least consider the recommendations of a
brokerage firm or account executive. Some purchase
independent trading advice. Others would rather have
someone else be responsible for trading their account
and therefore give trading authority to their broker.
Still others purchase an interest in a commodity
trading pool. There's no formula for deciding. Your
decision should, however, take into account such
things as your knowledge of and any previous
experience in futures trading, how much time and
attention you are able to devote to trading, the
amount of capital you can afford to commit to futures,
and, by no means least, your individual temperament
and tolerance for risk. The latter is important. Some
individuals thrive on being directly involved in the
fast pace of futures trading, others are unable,
reluctant, or lack the time to make the immediate
decisions that are frequently required. Some recognize
and accept the fact that futures trading all but
inevitably involves having some losing trades. Others
lack the necessary disposition or discipline to
acknowledge that they were wrong on this particular
occasion and liquidate the position. Many experienced
traders thus suggest that, of all the things you need
to know before trading in futures contracts, one of
the most important is to know yourself. This can help
you make the right decision about whether to
participate at all and, if so, in what way. In no
event, it bears repeating, should you participate in
futures trading unless the capital you would commit
its risk capital. That is, capital which, in pursuit
of larger profits, you can afford to lose. It should
be capital over and above that needed for necessities,
emergencies, savings and achieving your long-term
investment objectives. You should also understand
that, because of the leverage involved in futures, the
profit and loss fluctuations may be wider than in most
types of investment activity and you may be required
to cover deficiencies due to losses over and above
what you had expected to commit to futures.
Back to TOP
Trade
Your Own Account
This involves opening
your individual trading account and--with or without
the recommendations of the brokerage firm--making your
own trading decisions. You will also be responsible
for assuring that adequate funds are on deposit with
the brokerage firm for margin purposes, or that such
funds are promptly provided as needed. Practically all
of the major brokerage firms you are familiar with,
and many you may not be familiar with, have
departments or even separate divisions to serve
clients who want to allocate some portion of their
investment capital to futures trading. All brokerage
firms conducting futures business with the public must
be registered with the Commodity Futures Trading
Commission (CFTC, the independent regulatory agency of
the federal government that administers the Commodity
Exchange Act) as Futures Commission Merchants or
Introducing Brokers and must be Members of National
Futures Association (NFA, the industry wide self-regulatory association). Different firms offer
different services. Some, for example, have extensive
research departments and can provide current
information and analysis concerning market
developments as well as specific trading suggestions.
Others tailor their services to clients who prefer to
make market judgments and arrive at trading decisions
on their own. Still others offer various combinations
of these and other services. An individual trading
account can be opened either directly with a Futures
Commission Merchant or indirectly through an
Introducing Broker. Whichever course you choose, the
account itself will be carried by a Futures Commission
Merchant, as will your money. Introducing Brokers do
not accept or handle customer funds but most offer a
variety of trading-related services. Futures
Commission Merchants are required to maintain the
funds and property of their customers in segregated
accounts, separate from the firm's own money. Along
with the particular services a firm provides, discuss
the commissions and trading costs that will be
involved. And, as mentioned, clearly understand how
the firm requires that any margin calls be met. If you
have a question about whether a firm is properly
registered with the CFTC and is a Member of NFA, you
can (and should) contact NFA's Information Center
toll-free at 800-621-3570 (within Illinois call
800-572-9400).
Back
to TOP
Have
Someone Manage Your Account
A managed account is
also your individual account. The major difference is
that you give someone rise--an account
manager--written power of attorney to make and execute
decisions about what and when to trade. He or she will
have discretionary authority to buy or sell for your
account or will contact you for approval to make
trades he or she suggests. You, of course, remain
fully responsible for any losses which may be incurred
and, as necessary, for meeting margin calls, including
making up any deficiencies that exceed your margin
deposits. Although an account manager is likely to be
managing the accounts of other persons at the same
time, there is no sharing of gains or losses of other
customers. Trading gains or losses in your account
will result solely from trades which were made for
your account. Many Futures Commission Merchants and
Introducing Brokers accept managed accounts. In most
instances, the amount of money needed to open a
managed account is larger than the amount required to
establish an account you intend to trade yourself.
Different firms and account managers, however, have
different requirements and the range can be quite
wide. Be certain to read and understand all of the
literature and agreements you receive from the broker.
Some account managers have their own trading
approaches and accept only clients to whom that
approach is acceptable. Others tailor their trading to
a client's objectives. In either case, obtain enough
information and ask enough questions to assure
yourself that your money will be managed in a way
that's consistent with your goals. Discuss fees. In
addition to commissions on trades made for your
account, it is not uncommon for account managers to
charge a management fee, and/or there may be some
arrangement for the manager to participate in the net
profits that his management produces. These charges
are required to be fully disclosed in advance. Make
sure you know about every charge to be made to your
account and what each charge is for. While there can
be no assurance that past performance will be
indicative of future performance, it can be useful to
inquire about the track record of an account manager
you are considering. Account managers associated with
a Futures Commission Merchant or Introducing Broker
must generally meet certain experience requirements if
the account is to be traded on a discretionary basis.
Finally, take note of whether the account management
agreement includes a provision to automatically
liquidate positions and close out the account if and
when losses exceed a certain amount. And, of course,
you should know and agree on what will be done with
profits, and what, if any, restrictions apply to
withdrawals from the account.
Back
to TOP
Use
a Commodity Trading Advisor
As the term implies, a
Commodity Trading Advisor is an individual (or firm)
that, for a fee, provides advice on commodity trading,
including specific trading recommendations such as
when to establish a particular long or short position
and when to liquidate that position. Generally, to
help you choose trading strategies that match your
trading objectives, advisors offer analyses and
judgments as to the prospective rewards and risks of
the trades they suggest. Trading recommendations may
be communicated by phone, wire or mail. Some offer the
opportunity for you to phone when you have questions
and some provide a frequently updated hotline you can
call for a recording of current information and
trading advice. Even though you may trade on the basis
of an advisor's recommendations, you will need to open
your own account with, and send your margin payments
directly to, a Futures Commission Merchant. Commodity
Trading Advisors cannot accept or handle their
customers funds unless they are also registered as
Futures Commission Merchants. Some Commodity Trading
Advisors offer managed accounts. The account itself,
however, must still be with a Futures Commission
Merchant and in your name, with the advisor designated
in writing to make and execute trading decisions on a
discretionary basis. CFTC Regulations require that
Commodity Trading Advisors provide their customers, in
advance, with what is called a Disclosure Document.
Read it carefully and ask the Commodity Trading
Advisor to explain any points you don't understand. If
your money is important to you, so is the information
contained in the Disclosure Document! The
prospectus-like document contains information about
the advisor, his experience and, by no means least,
his current (and any previous) performance records. If
you use an advisor to manage your account, he must
first obtain a signed acknowledgment from you that you
have received and understood the Disclosure Document.
As in any method of participating in futures trading,
discuss and understand the advisor's fee arrangements.
And if he will be managing your account, ask the same
questions you would ask of any account manager you are
considering. Commodity Trading Advisors must be
registered as such with the CFTC, and those that
accept authority to manage customer accounts must also
be Members of NFA. You can verify that these
requirements have been met by calling NFA toll-free at
800-621-3570 (within Illinois call 800-572-9400).
Back
to TOP
Participate
in Commodity Pool
Another alternative
method of participating in futures trading is through
a commodity pool, which is similar in concept to a
common stock mutual fund. It is the only method of
participation in which you will not have your own
individual trading account. Instead, your money will
be combined with that of other pool participants and,
in effect, traded as a single account. You share in
the profits or losses of the pool in proportion to
your investment in the pool. One potential advantage
is greater diversification of risks than you might
obtain if you were to establish your own trading
account. Another is that your risk of loss is
generally limited to your investment in the pool,
because most pools are formed as limited partnerships.
And you won't be subject to margin calls. Bear in
mind, however, that the risks which a pool incurs in
any given futures transaction are no different than
the risks incurred by an individual trader. The pool
still trades in futures contracts which are highly
leveraged and in markets which can be highly volatile.
And like an individual trader, the pool can suffer
substantial losses as well as realize substantial
profits. A major consideration, therefore, is who will
be managing the pool in terms of directing its
trading. While a pool must execute all of its trades
through a brokerage firm which is registered with the
CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant, it may or may
not have any other affiliation with the brokerage
firm. Some brokerage firms, to serve those customers
who prefer to participate in commodity trading through
a pool, either operate or have a relationship with one
or more commodity trading pools. Other pools operate
independently. A Commodity Pool Operator cannot accept
your money until it has provided you with a Disclosure
Document that contains information about the pool
operator, the pool's principals and any outside
persons who will be providing trading advice or making
trading decisions. It must also disclose the previous
performance records, if any, of all persons who will
be operating or advising the pool lot, if none, a
statement to that effect). Disclosure Documents
contain important information and should be carefully
read before you invest your money. Another requirement
is that the Disclosure Document advise you of the
risks involved. In the case of a new pool, there is
frequently a provision that the pool will not begin
trading until (and unless) a certain amount of money
is raised. Normally, a time deadline is set and the
Commodity Pool Operator is required to state in the
Disclosure Document what that deadline is (or, if
there is none, that the time period for raising, funds
is indefinite). Be sure you understand the terms,
including how your money will be invested in the
meantime, what interest you will earn (if any), and
how and when your investment will be returned in the
event the pool does not commence trading. Determine
whether you will be responsible for any losses in
excess of your investment in the pool. If so, this
must be indicated prominently at the beginning of the
pool's Disclosure Document. Ask about fees and other
costs, including what, if any, initial charges will be
made against your investment for organizational or
administrative expenses. Such information should be
noted in the Disclosure Document. You should also
determine from the Disclosure Document how the pool's
operator and advisor are compensated. Understand, too,
the procedure for redeeming your shares in the pool,
any restrictions that may exist, and provisions for
liquidating and dissolving the pool if more than a
certain percentage of the capital were to be lost, Ask
about the pool operator's general trading philosophy,
what types of contracts will be traded, whether they
will be day-traded, etc. With few exceptions,
Commodity Pool Operators must be registered with the
CFTC and be Members of NFA. You can verify that these
requirements have been met by contacting NFA toll-free
at 800-621-3570 (within Illinois call 800-572-9400).
Back to TOP
Regulation
of Futures Trading
Firms and individuals
that conduct futures trading business with the public
are subject to regulation by the CFTC and by NFA. All
futures exchanges are also regulated by the CFTC. NFA
is a congressionally authorized self-regulatory
organization subject to CFTC oversight. It exercises
regulatory Authority with the CFTC over Futures
Commission Merchants, Introducing Brokers, Commodity
Trading Advisors, Commodity Pool Operators and
Associated Persons (salespersons) of all of the
foregoing. The NFA staff consists of more than 140
field auditors and investigators. In addition, NFA has
the responsibility for registering persons and firms
that are required to be registered with the CFTC.
Firms and individuals that violate NFA rules of
professional ethics and conduct or that fail to comply
with strictly enforced financial and record-keeping
requirements can, if circumstances warrant, be
permanently barred from engaging in any
futures-related business with the public. The
enforcement powers of the CFTC are similar to those of
other major federal regulatory agencies, including the
power to seek criminal prosecution by the Department
of Justice where circumstances warrant such action.
Futures Commission Merchants which are members of an
exchange are subject to not only CFTC and NFA
regulation but to regulation by the exchanges of which
they are members. Exchange regulatory staffs are
responsible, subject to CFTC oversight, for the
business conduct and financial responsibility of their
member firms. Violations of exchange rules can result
in substantial fines, suspension or revocation of
trading privileges, and loss of exchange membership. Back
to TOP
Words of
Caution
It is against the law
for any person or firm to offer futures contracts for
purchase or sale unless those contracts are traded on
one of the nation's regulated futures exchanges and
unless the person or firm is registered with the CFTC.
Moreover, persons and firms conducting futures-related
business with the public must be Members of NFA. Thus,
you should be extremely cautious if approached by
someone attempting to sell you a commodity-related
investment unless you are able to verify that the
offeror is registered with the CFTC and is a Member of
NFA. In a number of cases, sellers of illegal
off-exchange futures contracts have labeled their
investments by different names--such as "deferred
delivery," "forward" or "partial
payment" contracts--in an attempt to avoid the
strict laws applicable to regulated futures trading.
Many operate out of telephone boiler rooms, employ
high-pressure and misleading sales tactics, and may
state that they are exempt from registration and
regulatory requirements. This, in itself, should be
reason enough to conduct a check before you write a
check. You can quickly verify whether a particular
firm or person is currently registered with the CFTC
and is an NFA Member by phoning NFA toll-free at
800-621-3570 (within Illinois call 800-572-9400). Back
to TOP
Establishing
an Account
At the time you apply
to establish a futures trading account, you can expect
to be asked for certain information beyond simply your
name, address and phone number. The requested
information will generally include (but not
necessarily be limited to) your income, net worth,
what previous investment or futures trading experience
you have had, and any other information needed in
order to advise you of the risks involved in trading
futures contracts. At a minimum, the person or firm
who will handle your account is required to provide
you with risk disclosure documents or statements
specified by the CFTC and obtain written
acknowledgment that you have received and understood
them. Opening a futures account is a serious
decision--no less so than making any major financial
investment--and should obviously be approached as
such. Just as you wouldn't consider buying a car or a
house without carefully reading and understanding the
terms of the contract, neither should you establish a
trading account without first reading and
understanding the Account Agreement and all other
documents supplied by your broker. It is in your
interest and the firm's interest that you dearly know
your rights and obligations as well as the rights and
obligations of the firm with which you are dealing
before you enter into any futures transaction. If you
have questions about exactly what any provisions of
the Agreement mean, don't hesitate to ask. A good and
continuing relationship can exist only if both parties
have, from the outset, a clear understanding of the
relationship. Nor should you be hesitant to ask, in
advance, what services you will be getting for the
trading commissions the firm charges. As indicated
earlier, not all firms offer identical services. And
not all clients have identical needs. If it is
important to you, for example, you might inquire about
the firm's research capability, and whatever reports
it makes available to clients. Other subjects of
inquiry could be how transaction and statement
information will be provided, and how your orders will
be handled and executed. Back
to TOP
If a
Dispute Should Arise
All but a small
percentage of transactions involving regulated futures
contracts take place without problems or
misunderstandings. However, in any business in which
some 150 million or more contracts are traded each
year, occasional disagreements are inevitable.
Obviously, the best way to resolve a disagreement is
through direct discussions by the parties involved.
Failing this, however, participants in futures markets
have several alternatives (unless some particular
method has been agreed to in advance). Under certain
circumstances, it may be possible to seek resolution
through the exchange where the futures contracts were
traded. Or a claim for reparations may be filed with
the CFTC. However, a newer, generally faster and less
expensive alternative is to apply to resolve the
disagreement through the arbitration program conducted
by National Futures Association. There are several
advantages:
- You can elect, if
you prefer, to have arbitrators who have no
connection with the futures industry.
- You do not have to
allege or prove that any law or rule was broken
only that you were dealt with improperly or
unfairly.
- In some cases, it
may be possible to conduct arbitration entirely
through written submissions. If a hearing is
required, it can generally be scheduled at a time
and place convenient for both parties.
- Unless you wish to
do so, you do not have to employ an attorney.
For a plain language
explanation of the arbitration program and how it
works, write or phone NFA for a copy of Arbitration: A
Way to Resolve Futures-Related Disputes. The booklet
is available at no cost. Back
to TOP
What
to Look for in a Futures Contract?
Whatever type of
investment you are considering--including but not
limited to futures contracts--it makes sense to begin
by obtaining as much information as possible about
that particular investment. The more you know in
advance, the less likely there will be surprises later
on. Moreover, even among futures contracts, there are
important differences which--because they can affect
your investment results--should be taken into account
in making your investment decisions.
Delivery-type futures
contracts stipulate the specifications of the
commodity to be delivered (such as 5,000 bushels of
grain, 40,000 pounds of livestock, or 100 troy ounces
of gold). Foreign currency futures provide for
delivery of a specified number of marks, francs, yen,
pounds or pesos. U.S. Treasury obligation futures are
in terms of instruments having a stated face value
(such as $100,000 or $1 million) at maturity. Futures
contracts that call for cash settlement rather than
delivery are based on a given index number times a
specified dollar multiple. This is the case, for
example, with stock index futures. Whatever the
yardstick, it's important to know precisely what it is
you would be buying or selling, and the quantity you
would be buying or selling. Back
to TOP
Futures prices are
usually quoted the same way prices are quoted in the
cash market (where a cash market exists). That is, in
dollars, cents, and sometimes fractions of a cent, per
bushel, pound or ounce; also in dollars, cents and
increments of a cent for foreign currencies; and in
points and percentages of a point for financial
instruments. Cash settlement contract prices are
quoted in terms of an index number, usually stated to
two decimal points. Be certain you understand the
price quotation system for the particular futures
contract you are considering. Back
to TOP
Exchanges establish the
minimum amount that the price can fluctuate upward or
downward. This is known as the "tick" For
example, each tick for grain is 0.25 cents per bushel.
On a 5,000 bushel futures contract, that's $12.50. On
a gold futures contract, the tick is 10 cents per
ounce, which on a 100 ounce contract is $10. You'll
want to familiarize yourself with the minimum price
fluctuation--the tick size--for whatever futures
contracts you plan to trade. And, of course, you'll
need to know how a price change of any given amount
will affect the value of the contract. Back
to TOP
Exchanges establish
daily price limits for trading in futures contracts.
The limits are stated in terms of the previous day's
closing price plus and minus so many cents or dollars
per trading unit. Once a futures price has increased
by its daily limit, there can be no trading at any
higher price until the next day of trading.
Conversely, once a futures price has declined by its
daily limit, there can be no trading at any lower
price until the next day of trading. Thus, if the
daily limit for a particular grain is currently 10
cents a bushel and the previous day's settlement price
was $3.00, there can not be trading during the current
day at any price below $2.90 or above $3.10. The price
is allowed to increase or decrease by the limit amount
each day. For some contracts, daily price limits are
eliminated during the month in which the contract
expires. Because prices can become particularly
volatile during the expiration month (also called the
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