| The
following materials describe an investment in
futures. You should be aware that Futures
& options trading is not suitable for all
individuals. The degree of leverage available can lead
to large profits as well as large losses. Past
performance is not indicative of future results. If you
do not acknowledge the risks described above, the
following materials should not be used for the purposes
of making an informed decision regarding an investment
in futures or options.
The 12 Golden Rules
for Successful Trading
1. Adopt a definite
trading plan.
Because of the emotional
stress that is inherent in any speculative situation,
you must have a predetermined method of operation, which
includes a set of rules by which you operate and adhere
to, thus protecting you from yourself. Very often, your
emotions will tell you to do something totally foreign
or negative to what your market trading plan should be.
It is only by adhering to a preconceived formula that
you can resist the emotional temptations and stresses
that are constantly present in a speculative situation.
2. If you're not
sure, don't trade.
If you're in a trade and
feel unsure of yourself, take your loss or protect your
profit with a stop. If you are unsure of a position, you
will be influenced by a multitude of extraneous and
unimportant details and will probably end up taking a
loss.
3. You should be
able to be right 40% of the time and still show handsome
profits.
In speculating, it would
be folly to expect to be right every time. An individual
with the proper trading techniques should be able to cut
his losses short and let his profits run so that even
being right less than half the time will show excellent
profits. This point is re-emphasized in Rule Four.
4. Cut your losses
and let your profits ride.
The basic failing of most
speculators is that they put a limit on their profits
and no limit on their losses. A man hates to admit he's
wrong. Therefore, an individual will often let his loss
ride, becoming larger and larger in hopes that
eventually the market will turn around and prove him
correct. Then after a while, he begins hoping for a
small loss and gives up hoping for a profit. Human
nature also dictates that an individual wants to take
his profit right away and thus prove himself correct.
There is an old saying, "You never go broke taking
a small profit." But you'll certainly never get
rich that way. Being satisfied with small profits is the
wrong mental approach for making money in speculation.
If you are correct when entering a speculative
situation, you will know it almost immediately and will
show a profit quickly. However, if you are wrong, you
will show a loss and you should remove yourself from the
situation quickly. Taking a small loss does not
necessarily mean you were wrong in your thinking. It
simply means that your timing was perhaps incorrect and
that you should wait for the correct timing and
situation to allow you to reenter the market. Remember,
in any speculative situation, the market is the final
judge. An individual must let the market tell him when
he is wrong and when he is right. If you show a profit,
ride it until the market turns around and tells you that
you are no longer right, and, at that time, you should
get out...but not before! On the other hand, the market
will also tell you if you are wrong and it would be a
serious mistake to argue with what it is saying.
5. If you cannot
afford to lose, you cannot afford to win.
As we have stated in Rule
Four, losing is a natural part of trading. If you are
not in a position to accept losses, either
psychologically or financially, you have no business
trading. In addition, trading should be done only with
surplus funds that are not vital to daily expenses.
6. Don't trade too
many markets.
It is difficult to
successfully trade and understand a specific market. It
is next to impossible for an individual, especially a
beginner, to be successful in several markets at the
same time. The fundamental, technical, and psychological
information necessary to trade successfully in more than
a few markets is more than the individual has either the
time or ability to accumulate.
7. Don't trade in a
market that is too thin.
A lack of public
participation in a market will make it difficult, if not
impossible, to liquidate a position at anywhere near the
price you want.
8. Be aware of the
trend. ("The Trend is your friend")
It is vitally important
that a trader be aware of a strong force in the market,
either bullish or bearish. When this force is at its
height, it would be folly to attempt to buck it.
However, one must learn to recognize when a trend is
about to run its course or is near a period of
exhaustion. By an ability to recognize the early signs
of exhaustion, the trader will protect himself from
staying in the market too long and will be able to
change direction when the trend changes.
9. Don't attempt to
buy the bottom or sell the top.
It simply can't be done
unless you have the aid of a crystal ball or some other
tool which could be peculiar to the mystic. Be content
to wait for the trend to develop and then take advantage
of it once it has been established.
10. Never answer a
margin call.
This rule acts as a stop
loss when your position has weakened considerably. By
dogmatically and arbitrarily adhering to this rule, you
will be forced to get out of the market before disaster
sets it. It is often difficult to admit you're wrong and
get out of the market (which you probably should have
done well before you received a margin call). However,
the presence of a margin call should act as a final
warning that you have let your position go as far as you
conceivably can (unless the initial margin is out of
line with the volatility of the contract).
11. You can usually
sell the first rally or buy the first break.
Generally, a market which
has just established a trend either up or down will have
a reaction and good interim profits can be made by
recognizing this reaction and taking advantage of it.
For example, in a bull market, the first reaction will
generally be met by investors waiting to buy the break.
This support generally causes the market to rally. The
reverse is true of a bear market.
12. Never straddle
a loss.
A loss by itself is
difficult enough to accept. However, to lock in this
loss, thus making it necessary for you to be right twice
rather than the once (which you previously found
impossible) is sheer absurdity.
While the following
are not specific trading rules, they are general
observations which will aid the speculator in
formulating an understanding of markets:
You must retain
control of the situation and yourself. Do not
allow your position to control you. It is a mistake to
find yourself in a position larger than you can
reasonable handle. When this occurs, you will find that
the sheer size of the position, rather than the facts of
the situation itself, affects your judgment.
The commodity does
not know that you own it. You must remain
impersonal in your trading. When you take a position and
you are wrong, remember it is better to get out
immediately! The market will not feel badly about it if
you do, but you will if you don't.
The market always
looks its worst at its bottom, and the best at the top.
It is important to remember that before the market turns
around, it is at its very worst. Therefore, be prepared
to treat each day objectively by not allowing the
emotional fever to carry over and cloud your judgment.
Equity...Equity...Equity...Not
Cash. If a man is long from 100 points below the
market and you are long from the opening that day, you
both had the same amount invested in the market from the
time both of you were long. Therefore, if the market
goes up ten points, you each have made the same amount
that day. If the market goes down 10 points, you have
each lost the same amount. You should not be confused by
the fact that someone has taken a position before you.
You must be concerned with your own situation primarily.
Each day, start fresh. Your paper profits or losses from
previous days should not enter into your decisions
regarding the course of action you will take.
Treat paper profits
as if they are your own money. They are!
Naturally, the opposite also holds true.
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